Pssst... Wanna know a secret?
How about the secret of protecting
your pass line bet on the come out?
Many dealers will encourage you to
make additional hedge bets on craps numbers (2, 3 and 12) to protect your pass
line bet. You'll always hear "any craps" bets called whenever a new shooter is
coming out.
Wanna know the secret that craps pros use to profit on the
come out?
Let's find out!
Any craps is the most common hedge bet
and pays seven to one. This means that if you have a ten dollar pass line bet
and a $1 any craps bet, you'll win $9 ($10 - $1) if the 7 (or 11) rolls, and
lose only $3 ($10 pass line - $7 any craps) instead of $10 if the 2, 3, or 12
rolls.
It sounds okay, but let's look at the numbers. At the end of 36
rolls, you've invested $36 (36 x $1) in these hedge bets. The 2, 3 or 12 will
theoretically roll four times (once each for the 2 and 12, and twice for the 3)
in 36 rolls. So if you win these craps bets four times, you've won $28 (4 x $7)
and spent $36 (36 x $1), giving you a $8 ($36-$28) loss.
You can also
bet $2 ($1 each) Craps and Eleven (C&E). Craps (2, 3, or 12) pays 7 to 1,
while the eleven pays 15 to 1. If the eleven rolls you win $24 ($10 pass line +
$15 eleven - $1 any craps). The seven will win you $8 ($10 pass line - $2
C&E). If the 2, 3 or 12 should roll, you'll lose $4 (+$7 craps - $1 eleven -
$10 pass line) instead of $10.
This time, though, in 36 decisions, you've
invested $72 (2 x $36) in hedge bets. The 2 and 12 will have each rolled once,
and the three and eleven twice. You would make $7 on the 2 ($1 x 7), $14 on the
3 ($2 x 7), $7 on the 12 ($1 x 7), and $30 on the eleven ($2 x 15). This totals
$58 ($7 + $14 + $7 + $30), but you've already invested $72, so you have a $14
($72-$58) loss. Another winner for the house!
Finally, you can make a
3-way craps bet (on the 2, 3, and 12) for $3. This is different from the any
craps bet because the odds are higher -- 30 to 1 for the 2 and 12, and 15 to 1
for the 3. So if the 2 or 12 roll you win $18 ($30 - $10 - $2) instead of losing
$10, and if the 3 rolls, you win $3 ($15 - $10 - $2) instead of losing $10. This
bet also means that you will win on the 7 and 11 (from your pass line bet) AND
on the 2, 3, and 12 (from the 3-way craps bet). In 36 rolls, however, this time
you've invested $108 ($3 x 36). The 2 and 12 will roll once, and the 3 twice. At
30 to 1, the 2 and 12 pay $30 each, for a total of $60. At 15 to 1, the 3 pays
$30 ($2 x 15). You made $90 ($30 + $60) but spent $108 for a loss of $18!
Unfortunately, as you can see, you can not profitably protect a $10 pass
line bet by hedging it with craps bets.
Some craps writers have maintained that a craps hedge bet is only
profitable with a pass line bet of $25 or more, with a $4 any craps bet. Let's
look at the math. If you bet $4 any craps you'll win $112, which comes from $4
(bet) x 4 (number of times 2, 3, or 12 rolls) x 7 (payoff). You'll lose $144 ($4
x 36) resulting in a $32 loss. So, it's still not a good bet. In fact it's worse
than a $10 pass line bet with a $1 any craps bet!
Now let's look at the
same $25 pass line bet with a C&E hedge for $4. If the 11 rolls, you'll win
$83 ($25 pass line + $60 eleven - $2 any). The 7 will win you $21 ($25 pass line
- $4 C&E). If the 2 or 3 roll you win $1 ($28 - $25 - $2).
In 36 rolls you've invested $144 ($4 x 36) . The 2 and 12 will each have rolled once, and
the 3 and 11 twice each. You would make $14 on the 2 ($2 x 7), $28 on the 3 ($2
x 14), $14 on the 12 ($2 x 7) and $60 on the 11 ($2 x 30). This totals $116. So
you've lost $28 ($144 - $116).
Finally, let's look at a $6 3-way craps
bet with a $25 pass line bet. If the 2 or 12 roll you win $31 ($60 - $25 - $4).
If the 3 rolls you win $1 ($30 - $25 - $4). In 36 rolls on this bet you've
invested $216 ($6 x 36). At 30 to 1, the 2 and 12 pay $60 each (30 x $2) for a
total of $120 ($60 + $60). At 15 to 1 the 3 pays $60 ($2 x 15 x 2). You made
$180 ($120 + $60) but spent $216 giving you a $36 loss!
Craps is a math
game, and, as you can see, there is no way you can protect a pass line bet with
craps hedge bets whether your unit is $5, $10, or $25.
So, the secret of
protecting your pass line bet is to save all the money you would normally use
for hedge bets and use that money to add more odds to your pass line bets!
Pssst... Now you know the secrets of protecting your pass line bet with
craps bets!
You can get a FREE issue of The Crapshooter, the
only newsletter devoted exclusively to craps! Just send two first class stamps
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